Prediction for match São Bernardo — Ceara

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Copa do Brasil on March 17, São Bernardo will face Ceará. According to the 1X2 betting odds, Ceará is the favorite: their victory is offered at 2.22 with a 41.27% chance of success. A draw is priced at 3.00 (30.54%), while São Bernardo's win is at 3.25 with a 28.19% probability. Ceará receives the most support in terms of percentages and odds, marking them as the primary contender for a win in this matchup. Overall, the distribution of chances is fairly even, but the numbers favor Ceará, which could influence betting choices.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, São Bernardo played as follows: February 15, 2026 - São Bernardo vs Corinthians - 0-1, February 7, 2026 - Novorizontino vs São Bernardo - 2-1, February 1, 2026 - RB Bragantino vs São Bernardo - 1-1. Ceará's last three games ended like this: December 7, 2025 - Ceará vs Palmeiras - 1-3, December 4, 2025 - Flamengo vs Ceará - 1-0, November 30, 2025 - Ceará vs Cruzeiro - 1-1. São Bernardo's average ball possession over five matches is 45.6%, while Ceará's is 38%. São Bernardo averages 2.4 yellow cards per game, and Ceará 2. Fouls recorded are 12.4 against 9.8, and offsides are 0.4 for São Bernardo and 2.6 for Ceará. These figures reflect certain characteristics in the playing style of both teams, with São Bernardo committing more fouls and Ceará being caught offside more frequently. In a five-match series, São Bernardo and Ceará show similar discipline and ball control metrics.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the São Bernardo vs Ceará Match

In terms of totals from the last five matches, São Bernardo had two games over 2.5 goals and three under, while Ceará had three over and two under. The average number of goals in São Bernardo's matches is 2.2, and for Ceará, it's 2.6. Both teams score an average of 0.6 per game, but São Bernardo concedes 1.6 and Ceará 2. By halves, São Bernardo has two games over 1.5 goals in the first half and one in the second, while Ceará has two in the first and three in the second. São Bernardo most often scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (50%). Ceará scores most frequently between the 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (29% each) and concedes in the second half - 61-75 and 76-90 (33% each). Although the average goal figures are not very high, both teams tend to have productive second halves and frequent goals in the closing stages. Considering that Ceará has three games over 2.5 out of five, and São Bernardo two, with an average number of goals around 2.2-2.6, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, São Bernardo earns an average of 2.6 per game, and Ceará 6. Over five matches, São Bernardo only once exceeded a total of 9.5 corners, while Ceará did so three times. If we consider a total of 8.5 corners, the odds are: over 8.5 is priced at 1.65, under 8.5 at 2.10. On average, the teams together deliver 8.6 corners per game, which is close to the chosen line. Based on average values, Ceará appears more active in terms of corners. In this matchup, it makes sense to consider betting on over 8.5 corners, given Ceará's high performance in this metric and their consistent contribution to the overall corner statistics.