Prediction for match Santos — Deportivo Recoleta

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

Santos and Deportivo Recoleta face off in the Sudamericana tournament on 15.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Santos is the favorite with odds of 1.10, a draw is offered at 8.00, and a win for Deportivo Recoleta at 23.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Santos win - 84.36%, draw - 11.60%, Deportivo Recoleta win - 4.03%. The options for total goals are quite varied: over 2.75 is at 1.55, while under 2.75 is at 2.19. Both teams to score: yes - 2.76, no - 1.39. For Santos' individual total over 2.5 goals, the odds are 1.77, under 2.5 - 1.98. First half total options: over 1.0 - 1.50, under 1.0 - 2.39. Second half options: over 1.5 - 1.68, under 1.5 - 2.09.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Santos has an average ball possession of 48%, yellow cards - 2.8, fouls - 11.2, offsides - 2. Deportivo Recoleta averages 56.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Santos' last three matches: 11.04.2026 - Santos vs Atletico Mineiro - 1-0, 08.04.2026 - Deportivo Cuenca vs Santos - 1-0, 05.04.2026 - Flamengo vs Santos - 3-1. Deportivo Recoleta's last three matches: 11.04.2026 - Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta - 2-1, 08.04.2026 - Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo - 1-1, 30.03.2026 - Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta - 1-0. The teams have not faced each other before. It's also worth noting that Santos averages 4.4 corners per game, while Deportivo Recoleta averages 3.8, which could be interesting for corner analysis in the future.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Santos had over 2.5 goals once, under 2.5 four times. Deportivo Recoleta had over 2.5 goals twice, under 2.5 three times. The average number of goals in Santos' matches is 1.6, and for Deportivo Recoleta - 2.4. Santos scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 0.8, while Deportivo Recoleta scores 1 and concedes 1.4. By halves, Santos never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, but did once in the second half out of five. Deportivo Recoleta had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, once in the second. Goal intervals: Santos most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (43%) and concedes between 46-60 minutes (100%). Deportivo Recoleta scores most often in the intervals 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%). Despite Santos' low scoring, Deportivo Recoleta's defense is unstable, and the average total in the visitors' matches is higher, which, combined with the offered odds for over 2.75 goals at 1.55, makes this the main prediction.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Santos averages 4.4 corners per match, Deportivo Recoleta - 3.8, totaling 8.2. In the last 5 games, both teams had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. For corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.98, under 9.5 is also at 1.98. Santos is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.18. Considering the average total of corners and the frequency of over 9.5, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, although it is not the main bet. Individual corner stats for both teams can also be considered.