Prediction for match Spezia — Venezia

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie B on May 1, Spezia will face Venezia. According to the 1X2 odds, Venezia is the favorite, with their victory priced at 1.73, reflecting a probability of 54.19%. A draw is set at odds of 3.94 (23.80%), while a Spezia win is at 4.26 (22.01%). These odds and percentages highlight Venezia's noticeable advantage ahead of the match. The betting line also offers options on totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but Venezia's win stands out as the main betting option given the current balance of power. It's important to note that odds for double chance and goal totals are lower in value and do not provide such a clear advantage in probability.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Spezia has an average ball possession of 47.2%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 18 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Over the same period, Venezia shows a possession of 68.6%, receives 1 yellow card, commits 14 fouls, and is caught offside 1 time. In their last three matches, Spezia played as follows: 25.04.2026 Catanzaro - Spezia 4-2, 18.04.2026 Spezia - Südtirol 6-1, 12.04.2026 Spezia - Mantova 0-2. Venezia's last three matches were: 25.04.2026 Venezia - Empoli 2-0, 18.04.2026 Bari - Venezia 0-3, 11.04.2026 Virtus Entella - Venezia 1-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 27.09.2025: Venezia - Spezia 2-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Spezia - Venezia Match

In terms of scoring, Spezia averages 4.6 total goals in their last five matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2.6. Venezia averages 2.6 total goals, also scoring 2 but conceding only 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Spezia had 4 out of 5 matches end on "over", while Venezia had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Spezia had over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, and Venezia 2 out of 5. The same pattern is observed in the second half: 4 out of 5 for Spezia, 2 out of 5 for Venezia. Spezia most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), while Venezia scores most often between the 46th-60th minutes (38%). Spezia concedes most in the 31st-45th minute interval (43%), while Venezia concedes in the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (33% each). Despite Spezia's high scoring in recent matches, Venezia shows a very reliable defense and consistent attack, as evidenced by their low average conceded goals and regular scoring. The data on totals and over 2.5 goals suggest the match could be high-scoring, but betting on Venezia's victory seems more reliable given the balance of attack and defense of both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For the average number of corners in five matches, Spezia averages 3.4, while Venezia averages 3.6. In a series of five games, the total corners over 9.5 happened once for Spezia and twice for Venezia. Among the presented corner totals, the closest to the sum of average figures is the total of 7.5, but the line offers no odds for over 7.5 or under 7.5. The next closest total is 8.5, also without odds. The closest total with odds is 9.5, but there is no data. There is no clear favorite for corners. Given the average corner performance and the rare occurrence of over 9.5, it makes sense to consider cautious options for under 9.5 if suitable odds appear. Overall, both teams are not inclined to a large number of corners, as confirmed by their average figures in recent matches.