Prediction for match Villarreal — Celta

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

Villarreal and Celta will face off on April 26 in La Liga. Villarreal is favored with odds of 2.11, a draw is priced at 3.44, and a Celta victory is at 3.98. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Villarreal - 46.65%, draw - 28.62%, Celta - 24.73%. Villarreal is the favorite according to the odds and percentages, but the gap with Celta is not overwhelming. In the additional markets, the bet on both teams to score is priced at 1.64 for 'yes', and 2.15 for 'no', with the over 2.5 goals at 1.88. This suggests an expectation of goals from both sides, but not necessarily a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Villarreal played as follows: April 23 - Real Oviedo vs Villarreal - 1-1, April 12 - Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal - 1-2, April 6 - Girona vs Villarreal - 1-0. Celta's recent matches: April 22 - Barcelona vs Celta - 1-0, April 16 - Celta vs Freiburg - 1-3, April 12 - Celta vs Real Oviedo - 0-3. Over the last five matches, Villarreal has averaged 42.8% possession, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 9.6 fouls, and recorded 1.6 offsides per game. Celta has averaged 53.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. In their last head-to-head on August 31, 2025, the match ended 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Villarreal vs Celta

Villarreal has averaged a total of 2.4 goals in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Celta's average total is higher at 3.2, but they only score 0.8 and concede 2.4. For over 2.5 goals: Villarreal has hit this in 2 out of 5, Celta in 4 out of 5. For the first half over 1.5 goals: Villarreal 2 times, Celta 3 times. For the second half, Villarreal has not hit over 1.5, Celta 2 out of 5. Villarreal most often scores between 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (29% each), while Celta scores late (76-90, 43%). Villarreal concedes evenly throughout, while Celta's peak conceded is between 46-60 minutes (44%). Given Celta's low scoring efficiency, Villarreal's average goal total, and frequent unders in the second half, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.07 seems justified. Villarreal generally does not allow many goals, and Celta struggles with finishing chances.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, both Villarreal and Celta average 2.6 corners per game. For over 9.5 corners: Villarreal 2 out of 5, Celta none. The closest average total is 5.0, but the line offers 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.59, under 8.5 at 2.15. Villarreal is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.67. Neither team shows high activity in corners, so a bet on under 8.5 corners seems logical. Also, considering Villarreal's more stable previous performances, a bet on them to win the corners is worth considering.