Prediction for match Heidenheim — Mainz 05

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming Bundesliga round, Heidenheim will face Mainz 05 on 16.05.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Heidenheim is favored with odds of 1.97 for their victory, while Mainz 05 has odds of 3.47, and a draw is priced at 4.57. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Heidenheim win - 50.03%, draw - 21.57%, Mainz 05 win - 28.40%. The betting line also includes options for total goals, both teams to score, individual totals, and double chance, allowing for a wide range of betting styles.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Heidenheim has an average ball possession of 40.6%, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 7.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Mainz 05, in the same period, averages 46.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Heidenheim's results were: 10.05.2026 - Cologne vs Heidenheim - 1-3, 02.05.2026 - Bayern vs Heidenheim - 3-3, 25.04.2026 - Heidenheim vs St. Pauli - 2-0. Mainz 05's recent games were: 10.05.2026 - Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin - 1-3, 03.05.2026 - St. Pauli vs Mainz 05 - 1-2, 25.04.2026 - Mainz 05 vs Bayern - 3-4. In their last head-to-head, on 13.01.2026, Mainz 05 defeated Heidenheim 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games. Over the last 5 matches, Heidenheim has an average total of 3.8 goals, while Mainz 05 averages 4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: both teams hit this mark 4 out of 5 times. Heidenheim scores an average of 2.4 goals per match and concedes 1.4, while Mainz 05 scores 1.4 and concedes 2.6. In terms of goals by half: both teams had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and similarly in the second half - 3 out of 5 for over 1.5. Goal intervals: Heidenheim most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (36%), and Mainz 05 between 61-75 minutes (27%). For conceded goals, Heidenheim's frequent intervals are 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while for Mainz 05, half of all goals conceded occur between 76-90 minutes (50%). The statistics from recent matches and the average figures clearly suggest a high probability of a high-scoring game, making the over 2.75 total goals a logical choice. The odds for over 2.75 total goals are 1.51.

Corner Totals Analysis

Heidenheim averages 4.4 corners per match, while Mainz 05 averages 5.2. In the last 5 games, Heidenheim's matches had over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Mainz 05's matches had this 2 times. Among the available totals, the closest to the combined average (4.4 + 5.2 = 9.6) is 9.5 corners. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.84, and for under 9.5 corners are 1.90. The line also offers a corner outcome where Heidenheim is favored with odds of 2.00. Given the average figures for both teams and the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 total, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering both teams' attacking styles and recent match activity.