Prediction for match Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Bundesliga clash on May 16, Werder Bremen will face Borussia Dortmund. The odds for a Borussia Dortmund victory are 2.02, while a win for Werder Bremen is priced at 3.57, and a draw is at 4.16. According to bookmakers' probability percentages, the chances are distributed as follows: Werder Bremen - 27.58%, draw - 23.67%, Borussia Dortmund - 48.75%. The most likely outcome seems to be a win for Borussia Dortmund, based on both the odds and recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Werder Bremen has averaged 45.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Borussia Dortmund looks more confident in these metrics with 54.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Werder Bremen played as follows: 09.05.2026 - Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen - 1-0, 02.05.2026 - Werder Bremen vs Augsburg - 1-3, 26.04.2026 - Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen - 1-1. Borussia Dortmund's last three games: 08.05.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt - 3-2, 03.05.2026 - Borussia M'Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund - 1-0, 26.04.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg - 4-0. In their last head-to-head on 13.01.2026, Borussia Dortmund convincingly defeated Werder Bremen 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Werder Bremen has an average total of 3 goals per match, while Borussia Dortmund has 2.8. Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.8, whereas Borussia Dortmund scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 games. In terms of halves, Werder Bremen had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half three times, while Borussia Dortmund had over 1.5 goals twice in both halves. Werder Bremen most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), while Borussia Dortmund scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%). Werder Bremen concedes most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while half of Borussia Dortmund's conceded goals come in the 76-90 minute range. The cumulative goal statistics suggest a potentially high-scoring match, making a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.59 a reasonable choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Werder Bremen averages 4.2 corners per match, while Borussia Dortmund averages 3.8. In their last five matches, Werder Bremen had over 9.5 corners four times, whereas Borussia Dortmund had none. Among the available corner totals, the 8.5 line is closest to the combined average of both teams (8). The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.47, and under 8.5 corners are 2.48. Borussia Dortmund is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.80. Considering the average activity in corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, as well as to note Borussia Dortmund's advantage in corner outcomes.