Prediction for match Union Berlin — Augsburg

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Augsburg

In the Bundesliga, Union Berlin faces Augsburg on 16.05.2026. The odds for a Union Berlin win are 2.69, for an Augsburg victory - 2.52, and a draw is at 4.04. The estimated probabilities are: Union Berlin - 36.59%, draw - 24.36%, Augsburg - 39.05%. The odds and percentages suggest that the teams are almost evenly matched, with a slight edge for Augsburg. This balance is supported by recent performances, where both teams have been consistently picking up points and showcasing attacking football. This encounter is expected to be high-paced with plenty of chances for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

Union Berlin has an average possession of 49.2% over the last five matches, while Augsburg has 34.8%. Union Berlin averages 1.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Augsburg averages 2 yellow cards, 7.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Union Berlin played as follows: 10.05.2026 - Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin - 1-3, 02.05.2026 - Union Berlin vs Cologne - 2-2, 24.04.2026 - RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin - 3-1. Augsburg's last three matches: 09.05.2026 - Augsburg vs Borussia M - 3-1, 02.05.2026 - Werder vs Augsburg - 1-3, 25.04.2026 - Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt - 1-1. The last head-to-head match between the teams was on 15.01.2026: Augsburg vs Union Berlin - 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Union Berlin has an average of 3.8 goals per match in their last five games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 on average. Augsburg averages 3.4 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. Union Berlin has hit over 2.5 goals in all 5 matches, while Augsburg has done so in 4 of 5. In the first half, Union Berlin had over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches, Augsburg in 4 of 5. In the second half, Union Berlin had over 1.5 goals in all 5 matches, Augsburg in 2 of 5. Union Berlin most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (30%), and concedes in the same interval (33%). Augsburg scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%). These stats suggest a high probability of a high-scoring game, where both teams are likely to score at different stages of the match, and the dynamics of totals and over 2.5 goals support a bet on over 2.75 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Union Berlin averages 5.8 corners over five matches, while Augsburg averages 4.4. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 3 of 5 matches. Among the available lines for corners, the total closest to their combined average (10.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.70, under 9.5 at 2.03. Union Berlin is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.62. Based on the averages and frequency of exceeding the totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, as both teams consistently deliver corners and maintain a high tempo on the flanks. Union Berlin regularly surpasses 5 corners, and Augsburg can increase their activity, especially if they need to catch up.