Prediction for match Almere City FC — Den Bosch

Match Analysis: Almere City FC vs Den Bosch

On May 2nd, in the Dutch Eredivisie, Almere City FC will face Den Bosch. According to the 1X2 odds, Almere City FC is favored to win at 1.92, while Den Bosch is at 3.30, and a draw is priced at 4.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Almere City FC - 48.50%, draw - 23.28%, Den Bosch - 28.22%. In their recent encounters, both teams have frequently exchanged goals and played high-scoring matches: on April 29th, Almere City FC defeated Den Bosch 3-2, on April 6th, Den Bosch took revenge with a 2-1 victory, and in November last year, Den Bosch won 5-2. This indicates that both teams are inclined towards attacking play and do not focus on defense.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Almere City FC has an average possession of 54.2%, commits 11.4 fouls, receives 1 yellow card, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Den Bosch lags in these metrics: possession 45.8%, fouls 8.8, yellow cards 0.4, offsides 2.6. In their last three matches, Almere City FC played as follows: April 29th Den Bosch - Almere City FC 2-3, April 24th VVV-Venlo - Almere City FC 3-1, April 17th Almere City FC - Dordrecht 4-1. Den Bosch in the same period: April 29th Den Bosch - Almere City FC 2-3, April 24th Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag 1-3, April 20th Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht 1-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on April 29th, Almere City FC won 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal statistics indicate high scoring from both teams. Almere City FC has an average total of 4 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Den Bosch has an average total of 3.8, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.4. In a series of five matches, Almere City FC hit the over 2.5 goals mark 5 out of 5 times, Den Bosch 3 out of 5. By halves, Almere City FC has over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times and 4 out of 5 in the second. Den Bosch has only 1 out of 5 in the first half but also 4 out of 5 in the second half over 1.5. Almere City FC most frequently scores between the 16th and 45th minutes (33% each in both intervals), Den Bosch between the 46th and 90th minutes (22% each in three intervals). Almere City FC concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 38%), Den Bosch at the start of the second half (46-60 minutes, 36%). All this confirms that the match is likely to be high-scoring, especially in the second half. Considering the over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 for Almere City FC and 3 out of 5 for Den Bosch, as well as the average goal totals above 3.5 for both, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Almere City FC significantly surpasses their opponent in average corners: 6.6 compared to Den Bosch's 3.6 over a five-match series. In the last 5 matches, Almere City FC saw the total corners exceed 9.5 twice, Den Bosch three times. When considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (10.2) would be 9.5. In this case, the odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.95, and under 9.5 are 1.80. Given this profile, expecting at least 9-10 corners in this match is logical, especially considering Almere City FC's attacking style and frequent wing plays. Overall, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but the option for under 9.5 also has its merits if Den Bosch does not attack much. It's also worth noting that Almere City FC regularly takes more corners than their opponent, which might be interesting for individual corner bets.