Prediction for match Waalwijk — Roda

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

Waalwijk and Roda face off in the Eredivisie on May 1, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Waalwijk is favored: their win is priced at 2.14, Roda's victory at 2.96, and a draw at 3.70. In terms of probabilities, Waalwijk has a 43.45% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.13%, and Roda has a 31.42% chance. This suggests that Waalwijk has a slight edge, making their win odds the most intriguing option available.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Waalwijk has averaged 48.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Over the same period, Roda has maintained 54% possession, averaged 0.6 yellow cards, 7.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Waalwijk's last three matches were: April 28, 2026, Roda vs. Waalwijk 1-1, April 24, 2026, Waalwijk vs. Jong PSV 4-1, April 17, 2026, ADO Den Haag vs. Waalwijk 5-1. Roda's last three games were: April 28, 2026, Roda vs. Waalwijk 1-1, April 24, 2026, Jong AZ vs. Roda 2-0, April 17, 2026, Roda vs. Emmen 2-2. In their head-to-head on April 28, 2026, Roda and Waalwijk drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Waalwijk has averaged a total of 4.4 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.8. Roda has an average total of 2.6, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Waalwijk has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 games, while Roda has seen it in 2 of 5. For the first half over 1.5, both teams have 2 out of 5, but in the second half, Waalwijk recorded over 1.5 in 4 of 5, Roda in 3 of 5. Waalwijk most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (35%), while Roda scores most often between the 16th and 30th minute (33%). Waalwijk concedes evenly across all five-minute intervals, with 20% for each, while Roda concedes most between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Overall, Waalwijk appears to be the more prolific team, with their matches more often exceeding 2.5 goals. Roda shows a more reserved profile, but they also have high-scoring matches, especially in the second half. Considering Waalwijk consistently scores over two goals per game, and Roda concedes an average of 1.4, betting on Waalwijk's victory is advisable given their attacking potential and frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Waalwijk averages 3 corners per match, Roda 2.8. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and under in 3. The combined average of both teams is around 5.8, significantly below traditional lines. In recent matches, neither team has shown a strong tendency for a high number of corners. Based on corner statistics, it's more logical to consider betting on under 9.5 corners, as only 2 out of 5 matches for both teams exceeded this mark. Additionally, Waalwijk and Roda do not stand out in corner delivery compared to other league teams, which is further confirmed by their five-match averages.