Prediction for match Utrecht — NAC Breda

Match Analysis: Utrecht vs NAC Breda

In the Eredivisie, Utrecht will face NAC Breda on May 2nd. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: Utrecht's victory is at 1.83, a draw is at 4.00, and NAC Breda's win is at 4.07. The probabilities are: Utrecht - 52.43%, draw - 23.99%, NAC Breda - 23.58%. Utrecht is the favorite according to both the odds and the percentages, which is also supported by the recent head-to-head statistics between these teams. In their last encounter on December 14, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Utrecht has an average possession of 39.8%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. NAC Breda, in the same period, has 56.4% possession, receives 0.6 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and is caught offside once. Recent matches for Utrecht: April 26, 2026 - Excelsior vs Utrecht - 5-0, April 11, 2026 - Utrecht vs Telstar - 4-1, April 4, 2026 - PSV vs Utrecht - 4-3. For NAC Breda: April 25, 2026 - NAC Breda vs Ajax - 0-2, April 12, 2026 - Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda - 1-1, April 5, 2026 - NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam - 0-0. Last head-to-head: December 14, 2025 - NAC Breda vs Utrecht - 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of average goals over the last 5 matches, Utrecht has 4.2 goals per game, while NAC Breda has 2.6. Utrecht scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 2, whereas NAC Breda scores 0.4 and concedes 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: Utrecht has 3 out of 5, NAC Breda has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 for both teams, in the second half - 3 out of 5 for Utrecht and 2 out of 5 for NAC Breda. Regarding goal intervals: Utrecht most frequently scores between the 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (20% each), while NAC Breda scores between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 76th-90th minutes (22% each). In terms of goals conceded: Utrecht is most vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (33%), while NAC Breda is from the 16th to 45th and 61st to 90th minutes (25% each). Given Utrecht's high scoring rate and NAC Breda's weak attack, but with regular over 2.5 goal occurrences, considering a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is logical.

Corners in the Match

Over the last 5 matches, Utrecht averages 3.8 corners, while NAC Breda averages 8.8. For over 9.5 corners: Utrecht has 2 out of 5, NAC Breda has 4 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (12.6) is 9.5, where both outcomes are possible: over 9.5 corners - 1.54, under 9.5 - 2.40. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering NAC Breda's high activity in delivering corners. It's also worth noting that NAC Breda consistently delivers many corners in recent matches, which could impact the final statistics for this metric.