Prediction for match Chapecoense — Botafogo

Match Analysis: Chapecoense vs Botafogo

On April 18, Chapecoense and Botafogo will face off in Serie A. The odds for Botafogo to win are 2.28, for Chapecoense to succeed are 3.22, and a draw is priced at 3.42. The implied win probabilities for this match suggest Botafogo has a 42.11% chance of winning, Chapecoense 29.82%, and a draw is at 28.07%. Botafogo is seen as the favorite according to the odds and probability distribution, reflecting their stronger recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Chapecoense played as follows: on April 12, Atletico Paranaense defeated Chapecoense 2-0; on April 5, Chapecoense drew 1-1 with Vitoria; on April 2, Chapecoense lost 4-0 to Atletico Mineiro. Botafogo's last three results were: on April 15, Botafogo beat Racing 3-2; on April 12, Botafogo drew 2-2 with Coritiba; on April 9, Botafogo drew 1-1 with Caracas. On average over the last five games, Chapecoense had 46.6% possession, committed 15.6 fouls, was caught offside 1.6 times, and received 2.6 yellow cards. Botafogo's stats are: 48.2% possession, 12 fouls, 0.4 offsides, and 3 yellow cards. In their head-to-head on November 27, 2019, Chapecoense lost 1-0 to Botafogo.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Chapecoense vs Botafogo

In the last five matches, Chapecoense's total over 2.5 goals happened once, under 2.5 goals occurred four times. For Botafogo, it was the opposite: four times over 2.5 goals, once under. The average number of goals in Chapecoense's matches is 2, and Botafogo's is 3.8. In terms of goals scored: Chapecoense averages 0.2, Botafogo 2.2. In terms of goals conceded: Chapecoense allows 1.8, Botafogo 1.6. In the first half, Chapecoense had over 1.5 goals once, and Botafogo twice. In the second half, Chapecoense had over 1.5 goals twice, and Botafogo four times. Chapecoense scores most often between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), and concedes most in the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). Botafogo scores most frequently between the 61st-75th minutes (33%) and concedes most between the 76th-90th minutes (40%). Considering Botafogo's high scoring rate and Chapecoense's tendency to concede, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.51 seems logical: Botafogo scores consistently, and Chapecoense often concedes.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Chapecoense averages 5 corners per match, Botafogo 4.6. In the last five matches, Chapecoense's total over 9.5 corners occurred twice, Botafogo's three times. The line closest to the average total is 9.5 corners: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. Both teams show relatively stable corner stats, allowing for bets on totals around 9-10. The odds for corners are equal: Chapecoense to win corners at 2.03, Botafogo at 2.03, and a draw at 7.95. Both teams are expected to actively use the flanks and set-pieces, potentially leading to a number of corners around their average match figures.