Prediction for match Vitoria — Corinthians

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Brazilian Serie A on April 18, Vitoria will face Corinthians. According to the odds, Vitoria is priced at 2.85, Corinthians at 2.80, and a draw at 3.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Vitoria win - 33.69%, draw - 32.01%, Corinthians win - 34.30%. This suggests that both teams have almost equal chances of winning, with no clear favorite. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a narrow victory for Corinthians, but the difference with Vitoria is minimal, and a draw is also seen as a very likely possibility.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Vitoria played as follows: April 11, 2026 - Vitoria vs Sao Paulo - 2-0, April 5, 2026 - Chapecoense vs Vitoria - 1-1, April 1, 2026 - Cruzeiro vs Vitoria - 3-0. Corinthians' last three games were: April 16, 2026 - Corinthians vs Santa Fe - 2-0, April 12, 2026 - Corinthians vs Palmeiras - 0-0, April 10, 2026 - Platense vs Corinthians - 0-2. On average in the last five games, Vitoria had 44% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. Corinthians had 48.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head meeting on October 25, 2025, Vitoria lost to Corinthians 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Vitoria vs Corinthians

In the last five matches, both teams have shown low scoring: Vitoria had only 1 out of 5 games ending with over 2.5 goals, and Corinthians similarly had 1 out of 5. The average number of goals in Vitoria's matches during this period was 2, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Corinthians had an average total of 1.8 goals, with 1 scored and 0.8 conceded. By halves, Vitoria had only 1 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, and Corinthians the same. In the second half, Vitoria had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Corinthians had 3 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Vitoria most often scores between 31-45 minutes (44%) and concedes exclusively in the final minutes (76-90 minute, 100%). Corinthians scores most frequently in the 76-90 minute interval (40%) and concedes in the same last 15 minutes (50%). Considering the low scoring of both teams, the frequent under 2.5 totals, and average goal stats, a logical choice seems to be a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.54.

Analysis of Total Corners

On average, Vitoria earns 3.2 corners per match, while Corinthians earns 5.4. In the last 5 games, Vitoria had only 1 game with a total over 9.5 corners, while Corinthians had 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.93. For the outcome on corners, Vitoria is the favorite with odds of 1.77. Overall, considering the average values and the frequency of over 9.5 corners for Corinthians, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but this was rarely recorded for Vitoria, making the choice less clear. Expect a higher number of corners if Corinthians is active, but overall the match doesn't promise to be highly productive in this component.