Prediction for match Fiorentina — Sassuolo

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

On April 26th in Serie A, Fiorentina will face Sassuolo. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Fiorentina is at 2.00, a draw is at 3.40, and a win for Sassuolo is at 4.50. In terms of probabilities: Fiorentina - 49.20%, draw - 28.94%, Sassuolo - 21.86%. In the both teams to score market, the odds are 1.69 for 'yes' and 2.07 for 'no'. The over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.92, while under 2.5 is at 2.03. Based on these odds, bookmakers lean towards moderate scoring and a slight advantage for Fiorentina.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Fiorentina played as follows: April 20, 2026 - Lecce vs Fiorentina - 1-1, April 16, 2026 - Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace - 2-1, April 13, 2026 - Fiorentina vs Lazio - 1-0. Sassuolo's last three games were: April 17, 2026 - Sassuolo vs Como - 2-1, April 12, 2026 - Genoa vs Sassuolo - 2-1, April 4, 2026 - Sassuolo vs Cagliari - 2-1. In their head-to-head on December 6, 2025, Sassuolo defeated Fiorentina 3-1. Additional stats show: Fiorentina's average possession over five games is 49.2%, with 3 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Sassuolo has 43% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. These stats indicate Fiorentina plays more cautiously in defense, while Sassuolo commits more fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

In their last five matches, Fiorentina's average goals per game is 2, scoring and conceding 1 goal each. Sassuolo's average is higher at 2.4, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Fiorentina had 2 out of 5, Sassuolo had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for Fiorentina, and 1 out of 5 for Sassuolo. In the second half, Fiorentina had no occurrences of over 1.5, while Sassuolo had 3 out of 5. For goal intervals: Fiorentina most frequently scored between 16-30 minutes (43%), Sassuolo between 76-90 (38%). For goals conceded: Fiorentina is most vulnerable between 16-30 (67%), Sassuolo between 46-60 (40%). Overall, the goal and total stats suggest a moderately scoring match, with no clear tilt towards high scoring. The bet on under 3.0 goals is at 1.54, reflecting cautious expectations for goals. However, for the main prediction, the best option is both teams to score: yes at 1.69, as both teams consistently score, with Sassuolo having three BTTS in the last five matches, and Fiorentina two.

Corner Totals Analysis

Fiorentina averages 2.8 corners per match, Sassuolo 4.2. For over 9.5 corners: Fiorentina had 1 out of 5, Sassuolo had 3 out of 5. Among the totals with two outcomes, the closest to the average sum of both teams' corners (7) is 7.5: over 7.5 is at 1.34, under 7.5 is at 3.00. There's also a line for 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.58, under 8.5 is at 2.23. Fiorentina is favored in corner outcomes at 1.47. Overall, based on the stats, it's logical to consider a bet on over 7.5 or 8.5 corners, given that Sassuolo consistently gets 4 or more corners per game, and Fiorentina might increase their attacking activity. Meanwhile, over 9.5 corners is less frequent for both teams, suggesting a moderate number of corners is likely.