Prediction for match O'Higgins — Sao Paulo

Odds and Probability Percentages

The match between O'Higgins and Sao Paulo in the Sudamericana is scheduled for May 7, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Sao Paulo is the favorite with odds of 2.54, while a win for O'Higgins is priced at 2.82, and a draw is at 3.02. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sao Paulo - 36.47%, O'Higgins - 32.85%, and a draw - 30.68%. The balance of power is quite close, but Sao Paulo stands out as the most likely winner according to the odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, O'Higgins achieved the following results: April 29 - O'Higgins vs. Boston River - 2:0, April 25 - Ñublense vs. O'Higgins - 0:2, April 19 - Cobresal vs. O'Higgins - 2:3. During the same period, Sao Paulo played as follows: May 3 - Sao Paulo vs. Bahia - 2:2, April 29 - Millonarios vs. Sao Paulo - 0:0, April 26 - Sao Paulo vs. Mirassol - 1:0. In their head-to-head meeting on April 14, Sao Paulo was stronger than O'Higgins with a score of 2-0. In secondary statistics, O'Higgins averages 56.2% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and registers 1.2 offsides over 5 matches. Sao Paulo shows 48.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, O'Higgins has an average total of 2.6 goals per match, while Sao Paulo has 1.8. O'Higgins scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2, whereas Sao Paulo scores 1 and concedes 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: O'Higgins has 1 out of 5, Sao Paulo has 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: O'Higgins has 1 out of 5, Sao Paulo has 0 out of 5. In the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for O'Higgins and twice for Sao Paulo in 5 games. O'Higgins most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (50%), while Sao Paulo scores most often in the closing stages (76-90 minutes, 43%). Conceding-wise, O'Higgins stands out in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Sao Paulo has notable intervals at 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Overall, both teams do not demonstrate a consistent over-profile, with rare occurrences of over 2.5 goals, and their average goals scored and conceded do not indicate a high-scoring nature. Against this backdrop, betting on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical, especially as the odds for this outcome are 1.69.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

O'Higgins averages 6.6 corners in their last 5 matches, while Sao Paulo averages 8.8. For the frequency of total corners over 9.5: both teams had 4 out of 5 games go over. Considering the total corners, for 9.5 there are both options: over 9.5 is priced at 1.74, under 9.5 at 2.00. With these statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given the high averages of both teams and the frequent occurrence of this total in recent matches.